In the previous example, if you believe that the probability of the U.S. confirming the existence of aliens in 2025 will happen, you could buy “YES” shares at 18 cents each.
If the U.S. confirms it, each “YES” share will be worth $1, generating a profit of 82 cents per share.
On the other hand, any trader holding “NO” shares would lose their investment once the event is resolved.
Since this is a market, you are not required to hold your position until the end:
You can sell your predictions at any time at the current market price
As news evolves, supply and demand for predictions change, causing the price to reflect updated probabilities.
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Berry uses prediction markets created by Polymarket; none of the prediction markets available on Berry are created by Berry.
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